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Stuart Rothenberg: So what if Democrats meddled in GOP primaries?
05 Oct 2022 09:53 GMT
WASHINGTON — My head almost exploded recently when I heard yet again that Democrats had violated some sort of code of ethics by spending money to promote weaker Republican candidates in primaries this cycle.
I thought we had moved on to other subjects …
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Stuart Rothenberg: The fight for the Senate: Fundamentals, polling and opposition research
28 Sep 2022 09:42 GMT
When I was handicapping races day in and day out, I always started with race fundamentals (e.g., demographics, past political performance in the district or state) and, later in a cycle, switched to watching polls to see where races stood and were headed. …
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Stuart Rothenberg: Midterms 2022: April seems like ancient history
21 Sep 2022 08:35 GMT
Less than six months ago — April, to be specific — Democrats were wringing their hands about the party’s prospects in November and Republicans were counting their chickens before their midterm eggs had hatched.
It was only late April when Republican …
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Stuart Rothenberg: Learning from the 1998 and 2002 midterms
08 Sep 2022 10:09 GMT
The 1998 and 2002 elections remain the only times since 1932 that the president’s party has gained House seats in a midterm. Do those elections tell us anything about this year’s election?
Midterms tend to bring out the disappointed and angry, who almost …
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Stuart Rothenberg: Confused about 2022? You should be
21 Jul 2022 04:21 GMT
I’ve seen more than a few election cycles, but I’m not certain I have seen many that are more confusing than the one we are now in.
Which “rules” of handicapping still hold in the current environment, and which fell by the wayside as our parties changed, …
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Stuart Rothenberg: Still in trouble … and getting worse
26 May 2021 04:43 GMT
WASHINGTON — A little more than six months ago, on Nov. 16, I wrote a column entitled “A country in a whole lot of trouble.” That was less than two weeks after Election Day. Since then, things have deteriorated.
I suppose if you are a Democrat, a …
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Stuart Rothenberg | Lowering the bar for the Biden administration
28 Jan 2021 06:33 GMT
Less than two years from now, during Joe Biden’s first midterm election — and assuredly four years from now, during the next presidential contest — one of the two parties is likely to raise an inevitable question: “Are you better off now than you were two …
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Stuart Rothenberg: GOP shouldn’t count its midterm chickens before they hatch
09 Dec 2020 02:58 GMT
House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy has already guaranteed that his party will take back the chamber in two years. He could be right. Or not. We have no way of knowing what things will look like in May or October of 2021, let alone April or September of …
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Stuart Rothenberg | GOP shouldn’t assume midterm victories
04 Dec 2020 01:20 GMT
House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy has already guaranteed that his party will take back the chamber in two years. He could be right. Or not. We have no way of knowing what things will look like in May or October of 2021, let alone April or September of …
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Stuart Rothenberg | The election that made things worse
05 Nov 2020 02:56 GMT
As I write this, I don’t know who has won the 2020 race for president. But I do know that Tuesday’s election will not solve all the nation’s troubles, no matter the ultimate outcome. In fact, it will make things worse.
The past four years have taken a toll …